Back To: Archive Home |

BCDL Historical Match Analysis

(records through Fall 2000 Season)

Winning Team: Point Distribution
Points	Count	Percentage	Frequency
10	486	18.97%	1/5.27
11	477	18.62%	1/5.37
12	441	17.21%	1/5.81
13	353	13.78%	1/7.26
14	275	10.73%	1/9.32
15	232	9.06%	1/11.04
16	131	5.11%	1/19.56
17	92	3.59%	1/27.85
18	57	2.22%	1/44.95
19	18	0.70%	1/142.33
--	2,562	100.00%

Odds of Winning
Progressive

These tables show what percentage of teams have gone on to match victory given a specific score after each section.

Odds After 301
Score	Won	Lost	Win Odds
4-0	320	46	87.43%
3-1	899	358	71.52%
2-2	939	939	50.00%
1-3	358	899	28.48%
0-4	46	320	12.57%

After Cricket
Score	Won	Lost	Win Odds
8-0	69	0	100.00%
7-1	268	15	94.70%
6-2	617	74	89.29%
5-3	653	288	69.39%
4-4	578	578	50.00%
3-5	288	653	30.61%
2-6	74	617	10.71%
1-7	15	268	5.30%
0-8	0	69	0.00%

After Doubles '01
Score	Won	Lost	Win Odds
won	421	n/a	100.00%
9-3	360	21	94.49%
8-4	600	46	92.88%
7-5	468	242	65.92%
6-6	404	404	50.00%
5-7	242	468	34.08%
4-8	46	600	7.12%
3-9	21	360	5.51%
lost	n/a	421	0.00%

After Doubles Cricket
Score	Won	Lost	Win Odds
won	1,692	n/a	100.00%
9-7	298	256	53.79%
8-6	316	316	50.00%
7-9	256	298	46.21%
lost	n/a	1,692	0.00%

Odds of Winning
By Section

These tables show what percentage of teams have gone on to match victory compared to their performance in each section.

301 Perspective
Score	Won	Lost	Win Odds
4-0	320	46	87.43%
3-1	899	358	71.52%
2-2	939	939	50.00%
1-3	358	899	28.48%
0-4	46	320	12.57%

Singles Cricket
Score	Won	Lost	Win Odds
4-0	427	36	92.22%
3-1	938	323	74.39%
2-2	838	838	50.00%
1-3	323	938	25.61%
0-4	36	427	7.78%

Doubles '01
Score	Won	Lost	Win Odds
2-0	1,092	219	83.30%
1-1	1,251	1,251	50.00%
0-2	219	1,092	16.70%

Doubles Cricket
Score	Won	Lost	Win Odds
2-0	1,158	193	85.71%
1-1	1,211	1,211	50.00%
0-2	193	1,158	14.29%

4 Player 701
Score	Won	Lost	Win Odds
1-0	1,896	666	74.00%
0-1	666	1,896	26.00%

Winning Team Win Distribution
By Section

There are 550 possible point distribution (by section) patterns possible (5*5*3*3*2). Half of those (225) are winning distributions. What follows is a listing of all 225 patterns and how many times they have occured. There are 30 patterns that have yet to happen (We're picking them off at about one per season). The first chart is the 12 most common distributions; the second lists the most common distribution based on final point total; the big list pulls up the rear.

Top Twelve
Pts	Pattern	Count
11	22111	93
12	23111	68
10	21111	60
13	22211	51
12	32111	51
15	33121	49
17	33221	48
13	33111	44
14	23121	42
13	22121	39
12	33120	39
10	33110	39

Top by Point
Pts	Pattern	Count	%/Value
19	44221	18	100.00%
18	34221	33	57.89%
17	33221	48	52.17%
16	32221	31	23.66%
15	33121	49	21.12%
14	23121	42	15.27%
13	22211	51	14.45%
12	23111	68	15.42%
11	22111	93	19.50%
10	21111	60	12.35%

The List
Pts	Pattern	Count
19	44221	18

18	43221	24
18	34221	33

17	44211	7
17	44121	10
17	42221	10
17	33221	48
17	24221	17

16	44220	6
16	43211	9
16	43121	19
16	41221	1
16	34211	17
16	34121	13
16	32221	31
16	23221	29
16	14221	6

15	44201	0
15	44111	10
15	44021	0
15	43220	11
15	42211	17
15	42121	16
15	40221	1
15	34220	10
15	33211	23
15	33121	49
15	31221	9
15	24211	15
15	24121	28
15	22221	28
15	13221	15
15	04221	0

14	44210	1
14	44120	7
14	43201	3
14	43111	14
14	43021	2
14	42220	2
14	41211	3
14	41121	2
14	34201	7
14	34111	20
14	34021	7
14	33220	21
14	32211	34
14	32121	28
14	30221	1
14	24220	6
14	23211	33
14	23121	42
14	21221	7
14	14211	6
14	14121	10
14	12221	18
14	03221	1

13	44101	2
13	44011	2
13	43210	8
13	43120	10
13	42201	3
13	42111	17
13	42021	5
13	41220	0
13	40211	0
13	40121	0
13	34210	9
13	34120	11
13	33201	10
13	33111	44
13	33021	15
13	32220	16
13	31211	11
13	31121	9
13	24201	3
13	24111	29
13	24021	3
13	23220	13
13	22211	51
13	22121	39
13	20221	0
13	14220	1
13	13211	16
13	13121	16
13	11221	5
13	04211	0
13	04121	1
13	02221	4

12	44200	0
12	44110	2
12	44020	2
12	43101	5
12	43011	5
12	42210	7
12	42120	8
12	41201	2
12	41111	6
12	41021	1
12	40220	0
12	34101	0
12	34011	4
12	33210	22
12	33120	39
12	32201	10
12	32111	51
12	32021	12
12	31220	8
12	30211	1
12	30121	0
12	24210	11
12	24120	13
12	23201	12
12	23111	68
12	23021	13
12	22220	22
12	21211	26
12	21121	15
12	14201	0
12	14111	9
12	14021	3
12	13220	8
12	12211	16
12	12121	28
12	10221	0
12	04220	1
12	03211	5
12	03121	5
12	01221	1

11	44001	0
11	43200	1
11	43110	8
11	43020	1
11	42101	5
11	42011	2
11	41210	0
11	41120	1
11	40201	0
11	40111	3
11	40021	0
11	34200	1
11	34110	11
11	34020	2
11	33101	11
11	33011	17
11	32210	21
11	32120	24
11	31201	8
11	31111	33
11	31021	4
11	30220	0
11	24101	7
11	24011	4
11	23210	27
11	23120	31
11	22201	14
11	22111	93
11	22021	11
11	21220	14
11	20211	8
11	20121	3
11	14210	4
11	14120	4
11	13201	8
11	13111	31
11	13021	11
11	12220	11
11	11211	19
11	11121	13
11	04201	0
11	04111	1
11	04021	0
11	03220	0
11	02211	6
11	02121	4
11	00221	0

10	44100	0
10	44010	2
10	43001	0
10	42200	1
10	42110	7
10	42020	4
10	41101	0
10	41011	6
10	40210	1
10	40120	0
10	34001	3
10	33200	6
10	33110	39
10	33020	12
10	32101	24
10	32011	23
10	31210	19
10	31120	10
10	30201	1
10	30111	7
10	30021	0
10	24200	3
10	24110	14
10	24020	4
10	23101	18
10	23011	23
10	22210	35
10	22120	29
10	21201	11
10	21111	60
10	21021	5
10	20220	2
10	14101	4
10	14011	1
10	13210	13
10	13120	17
10	12201	8
10	12111	32
10	12021	9
10	11220	8
10	10211	5
10	10121	3
10	04210	0
10	04120	2
10	03201	2
10	03111	4
10	03021	1
10	02220	2
10	01211	3
10	01121	3

Last update: January 16, 2001.

BCDL Historical Match Analysis

Winning Team:Point Distribution

Odds of WinningProgressive

Odds After 301

After Cricket

After Doubles '01

After Doubles Cricket

Odds of WinningBy Section

301 Perspective

Singles Cricket

Doubles '01

Doubles Cricket

4 Player 701

Winning Team Win DistributionBy Section

Top Twelve

Top by Point

The List

Winning Team:
Point Distribution

Odds of Winning
Progressive

Odds of Winning
By Section

Winning Team Win Distribution
By Section