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BCDL Historical Match Analysis

(records through Fall 2000 Season)

Winning Team:
Point Distribution

Points Count Percentage Frequency
10 486 18.97%1/5.27
11 477 18.62%1/5.37
12 441 17.21%1/5.81
13 353 13.78%1/7.26
14 275 10.73%1/9.32
15 232 9.06%1/11.04
16 131 5.11%1/19.56
17 92 3.59%1/27.85
18 57 2.22%1/44.95
19 18 0.70%1/142.33
--2,562100.00% 

Odds of Winning
Progressive

These tables show what percentage of teams have gone on to match victory given a specific score after each section.

Odds After 301

Score Won Lost Win Odds
4-0320 4687.43%
3-189935871.52%
2-293993950.00%
1-335889928.48%
0-4 4632012.57%

After Cricket

Score Won Lost Win Odds
8-0 69 0100.00%
7-1268 15 94.70%
6-2617 74 89.29%
5-3653288 69.39%
4-4578578 50.00%
3-5288653 30.61%
2-6 74617 10.71%
1-7 15268 5.30%
0-8 0 69 0.00%

After Doubles '01

Score Won Lost Win Odds
won421n/a100.00%
9-3360 21 94.49%
8-4600 46 92.88%
7-5468242 65.92%
6-6404404 50.00%
5-7242468 34.08%
4-8 46600 7.12%
3-9 21360 5.51%
lostn/a421 0.00%

After Doubles Cricket

Score Won Lost Win Odds
won1,692 n/a100.00%
9-7 298 256 53.79%
8-6 316 316 50.00%
7-9 256 298 46.21%
lost n/a1,692 0.00%

Odds of Winning
By Section

These tables show what percentage of teams have gone on to match victory compared to their performance in each section.

301 Perspective

Score Won Lost Win Odds
4-0320 4687.43%
3-189935871.52%
2-293993950.00%
1-335889928.48%
0-4 4632012.57%

Singles Cricket

Score Won Lost Win Odds
4-0427 3692.22%
3-193832374.39%
2-283883850.00%
1-332393825.61%
0-4 36427 7.78%





Doubles '01

Score Won Lost Win Odds
2-01,092 21983.30%
1-11,2511,25150.00%
0-2 2191,09216.70%





Doubles Cricket

Score Won Lost Win Odds
2-01,158 19385.71%
1-11,2111,21150.00%
0-2 1931,15814.29%

4 Player 701

Score Won Lost Win Odds
1-01,896 66674.00%
0-1 6661,89626.00%

Winning Team Win Distribution
By Section

There are 550 possible point distribution (by section) patterns possible (5*5*3*3*2). Half of those (225) are winning distributions. What follows is a listing of all 225 patterns and how many times they have occured. There are 30 patterns that have yet to happen (We're picking them off at about one per season). The first chart is the 12 most common distributions; the second lists the most common distribution based on final point total; the big list pulls up the rear.

Top Twelve

Pts Pattern Count
112211193
122311168
102111160
132221151
123211151
153312149
173322148
133311144
142312142
132212139
123312039
103311039

Top by Point

Pts Pattern Count %/Value
194422118100.00%
18342213357.89%
17332214852.17%
16322213123.66%
15331214921.12%
14231214215.27%
13222115114.45%
12231116815.42%
11221119319.50%
10211116012.35%

The List

Pts Pattern Count
194422118
184322124
183422133
17442117
174412110
174222110
173322148
172422117
16442206
16432119
164312119
16412211
163421117
163412113
163222131
162322129
16142216
15442010
154411110
15440210
154322011
154221117
154212116
15402211
153422010
153321123
153312149
15312219
152421115
152412128
152222128
151322115
15042210
14442101
14441207
14432013
144311114
14430212
14422202
14412113
14411212
14342017
143411120
14340217
143322021
143221134
143212128
14302211
14242206
142321133
142312142
14212217
14142116
141412110
141222118
14032211
13441012
13440112
13432108
134312010
13422013
134211117
13420215
13412200
13402110
13401210
13342109
133412011
133320110
133311144
133302115
133222016
133121111
13311219
13242013
132411129
13240213
132322013
132221151
132212139
13202210
13142201
131321116
131312116
13112215
13042110
13041211
13022214
12442000
12441102
12440202
12431015
12430115
12422107
12421208
12412012
12411116
12410211
12402200
12341010
12340114
123321022
123312039
123220110
123211151
123202112
12312208
12302111
12301210
122421011
122412013
122320112
122311168
122302113
122222022
122121126
122112115
12142010
12141119
12140213
12132208
121221116
121212128
12102210
12042201
12032115
12031215
12012211
11440010
11432001
11431108
11430201
11421015
11420112
11412100
11411201
11402010
11401113
11400210
11342001
113411011
11340202
113310111
113301117
113221021
113212024
11312018
113111133
11310214
11302200
11241017
11240114
112321027
112312031
112220114
112211193
112202111
112122014
11202118
11201213
11142104
11141204
11132018
111311131
111302111
111222011
111121119
111112113
11042010
11041111
11040210
11032200
11022116
11021214
11002210
10441000
10440102
10430010
10422001
10421107
10420204
10411010
10410116
10402101
10401200
10340013
10332006
103311039
103302012
103210124
103201123
103121019
103112010
10302011
10301117
10300210
10242003
102411014
10240204
102310118
102301123
102221035
102212029
102120111
102111160
10210215
10202202
10141014
10140111
101321013
101312017
10122018
101211132
10120219
10112208
10102115
10101213
10042100
10041202
10032012
10031114
10030211
10022202
10012113
10011213

Last update: January 16, 2001.